The Balance of Power

As the country enters a third wave of the coronavirus pandemic, election forecasts are pointing to a potential blue wave in Congress on Election Day.

FiveThirtyEight’s analysis gives Democrats a 74% chance of taking back the Senate, with two red seats (Arizona and Colorado) and one blue seat (Alabama) predicted to flip. Maine, North Carolina, Montana, Iowa, both Senate seats in Georgia and South Carolina are all toss ups with current polling too close to call. Democrats just need to win two of the seven toss ups to take back control of the Senate.

Election forecasts give the Democrats an even greater chance of winning the House, with an estimated 96% chance of keeping control. 

If Democrats win control of both chambers, the party will be positioned to influence the next president’s legislative agenda, including how to move forward with stalled coronavirus relief.